JC
February 28, 2026

Housing Market After the Reverse Carry Trade Unwinds

A viewer asked: Do you think the housing market will crash at the reverse carry trade? This recording is Jake Claver's answer, in full and unedited.

Covered in this recordingliquidity

What this recording covers

Claver analyzes how the potential unwinding of international currency carry trades could influence global real estate, equities, and commodities. He discusses historical borrowing from the Bank of Japan, explaining that capital obtained through low Japanese interest rates was deployed across international markets over multiple decades. According to Claver, adjustments in Japanese central bank policy could force global investors to close leveraged positions and repatriate capital to settle outstanding obligations. He explains that this structural debt unwinding could drain liquidity simultaneously from equities, housing, precious metals, and digital assets. Claver reviews historical earnings multiples and corporate balance sheet ratios to illustrate broader market conditions. He identifies specific physical commodities and specialized digital settlement tokens that might function differently during a liquidity contraction, while advising individuals to conduct their own independent analysis regarding macroeconomic risk management.

Where this fits

This page hosts a recorded video and a short summary of what it covers. It is general information, not investment, tax, or legal advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset or to form any entity. Rules change and older recordings may describe a position that has since moved. Speak to a qualified professional before acting.

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